Bitcoin geçen hafta büyük bir düzeltme yaparak 28.000 dolardan 25.200 dolara düştü. Herkes için soru, bunun düzeltmenin dip noktası mı olduğu, yoksa daha da düşüp düşmeyeceğidir. Önde gelen kripto para analisti ve tüccarı Michaël van de Poppe’ye göre düzeltmenin bittiğini ve Bitcoin’in yakında yükseliş eğilimine devam edebileceğini gösteren birkaç faktör var.
Van de Poppe, Bitcoin’in zaman içinde benzer fiyat hareketlerini tekrarlama eğiliminde olan döngüsel ve döngüsel bir yapıya sahip olduğuna dikkat çekti. Mevcut düzeltmeyi 2018’in aynı haftasında son piyasa döngüsünde yaşananlarla karşılaştırdı. Her iki durumda da Bitcoin, 200 haftalık Üstel Hareketli Ortalamanın (EMA) uzun vadeli destek seviyesine düştü.
Bu seviyenin, özellikle Mayıs 2024’te beklenen bir sonraki yarılanma olayı öncesinde yeni bir rallinin başlangıç noktası olabileceğini savundu.
Van de Poppe ayrıca kısa vadede Bitcoin fiyatlarını etkileyebilecek bazı önemli olay ve haberlerden de bahsetti. ABD işsizlik oranı, PMI, TÜFE ve FOMC gibi getirileri, altın ve dolar piyasalarını etkileyebilecek ekonomik verileri yakından izlediğini söyledi. Bitcoin’in bu varlıklarla yüksek korelasyona sahip olduğunu, yani bu varlıklarla aynı yönde hareket etme eğiliminde olduğunu açıkladı.
ABD TÜFE verileri 13 Eylül’de açıklanacak ve FOMC toplantısı 20 Eylül’de yapılacak. Ayrıca Grayscale ile SEC davası, Bitcoin spot ETF dosyası, Ethereum vadeli işlem ETF dosyası ve SEC’in XRP ile açtığı dava da dahil olmak üzere kripto para birimi alanındaki çeşitli gelişmelere de dikkat çekti. Bu olayların sonuçlarına bağlı olarak Bitcoin üzerinde olumlu veya olumsuz bir etkisi olabileceğini söyledi. Binance’in düzenleyici sorunların yakında çözülmesini beklediği için bunu takip edilmesi gereken önemli bir faktör olarak görmediğini de sözlerine ekledi.
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